hopeia
making the markets
sporting & racing analysis
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| Ascot Markets |
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| 17/01/2026 | Ascot | 1 | 1000m | 2yo |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | DARYTE | 2 | WILLIAM PIKE | 1 | 55.0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5.9 | 2 | 2.34 | 999 | 3.2 | 1 | 3.2 | |||
| 02 | FARNOVA | 4 | HOLLY WATSON | 7 | 55.0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7.2 | 5 | 5 | 999 | 2.9 | 2 | 3.15 | |||
| 03 | PERFUME PRINCESS | 8 | CLINT JOHNSTON-PORTER | 2 | 55.0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 6 | 15 | 999 | 10 | 3 | 3.60 | |||
| 04 | BURNING BRIDGES | 3 | BRAD PARNHAM | 5 | 57.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.84 | 1 | 3.3 | 999 | 3.8 | 4 | 3.75 | |||
| 05 | KUTE AS KAN BE | 7 | VICTORIA CORVER | 7 | 55.0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6.4 | 3 | 12 | 999 | 11 | 5 | 5.05 | |||
| 06 | WHAT HAVE YOU DONE | 5 | CHANEL COOPER | 5 | 53.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 170 | 7 | 70 | 999 | 101 | 6 | 5.70 | |||
| 07 | MY MATE MAX | 1 | BRANDON LOUIS | 7 | 57.0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 180 | 9 | 70 | 999 | 151 | 7 | 8.55 | |||
| 08 | TEXAN DREAM | 9 | HOLLY NOTTLE | 4 | 54.0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 999 | 19 | 8 | 9.25 | |||
| 09 | WILD WEST | 6 | AUSTIN GALATI | 2 | 57.0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 170 | 7 | 70 | 999 | 71 | 9 | 13.35 |
| 17/01/2026 | Ascot | 2 | 1500m | BM 85 | e -4.5 | a -6.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | SILVER EYE | 6 | SHAUN O'DONNELL | 2 | 55.5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3.35 | 1 | 3.1 | 999 | 3.6 | 1 | 3.6 | |||
| 02 | RIVER RUBICON | 5 | WILLIAM PIKE | 1 | 57.5 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 5.5 | 3 | 6.8 | 3.9 | 2 | 1.40 | ||
| 03 | DESENNEA | 1 | PATRICK CARBERY | 5 | 55.0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 19 | 1 | - | 31 | 3 | 4.10 | -1 | |
| 04 | NOTEWORTHY | 2 | CLINT JOHNSTON-PORTER | 2 | 55.5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3.95 | 2 | 2.8 | 5 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 4 | 4.40 | ||
| 05 | BRUCE ALMIGHTY | 4 | STEVEN PARNHAM | 4 | 60.0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 10.5 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 10.5 | 17 | 5 | 4.70 | -2 | |
| 06 | WITHOUT REG | 3 | HOLLY WATSON | 5 | 58.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5.6 | 3 | 5 | 3.5 | - | 5.5 | 6 | 4.75 | -3.5 |
| 17/01/2026 | Ascot | 3 | 1800m | BM 75 | e -4.5 | a -9.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | OUR PALADIN AL | 1 | HOLLY NOTTLE | 4 | 55.5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | 1.9 | 6 | 3.55 | 1.8 | 1 | 1.9 | ||
| 02 | FLY WITH CAUTION | 3 | SHAUN O'DONNELL | 2 | 60.0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 5.5 | 3 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 2 | 0.20 | ||
| 03 | ARCADIA PARK | 6 | CLINT JOHNSTON-PORTER | 2 | 60.0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8.2 | 4 | 9.4 | 2.5 | 8.2 | 11 | 3 | 3.20 | -2.5 | |
| 04 | BATTLE COMMANDER | 2 | CHANEL COOPER | 5 | 56.0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 4.3 | 2 | 6.4 | 4.5 | - | 5.5 | 4 | 3.35 | -4.5 | |
| 05 | SOWAR | 4 | HOLLY WATSON | 6 | 60.0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 18 | 31 | 5 | 3.45 | -1 | |
| 06 | OUR NEMESIS | 5 | LUCY FIORE | 1 | 58.5 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 999 | 21 | 6 | 3.65 | |||
| 07 | ATLANTIS BEACH | 8 | PATRICK CARBERY | 6 | 55.0 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 8 | 40 | 0.5 | 34 | 61 | 7 | 3.80 | -0.5 | |
| 08 | ARCADIA KNIGHT | 7 | ZEPHEN JOHNSTON-PORTER | 6 | 57.0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 17.5 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 17.5 | 21 | 7 | 3.80 | -1 |
| 17/01/2026 | Ascot | 4 | 1200m | 3yo | e -0.5 | a 57 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | OUR NAUGHTY SECRET | 3 | JADE MCNAUGHT | 10 | 56.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 20 | 41 | 1 | 70 | 69 | |
| 02 | PLAYIN'IT SWEET | 6 | HOLLY NOTTLE | 4 | 57.5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1.72 | 1 | 1.74 | 11.5 | 1.72 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.30 | -11.5 | |
| 03 | SHE'S HOT | 9 | WILLIAM PIKE | 1 | 54.0 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 9.6 | 3 | 5.8 | 999 | 6 | 3 | 0.65 | |||
| 04 | NATURE'S RECKONING | 8 | VICTORIA CORVER | 6 | 54.0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 34 | 999 | 61 | 4 | 1.35 | |||
| 05 | BASSETT HOUND | 2 | PATRICK CARBERY | 6 | 56.0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 6.8 | 2 | 4 | 999 | 3.2 | 5 | 1.45 | |||
| 06 | I'M GENEVIEVE | 4 | LUCY FIORE | 1 | 54.0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 6 | 26 | 999 | 19 | 6 | 2.20 | |||
| 07 | PLAYING FREE | 5 | LAQDAR RAMOLY | 4 | 56.0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 34 | 7 | 34 | 0.5 | - | 101 | 7 | 3.30 | -0.5 | |
| 08 | PURE MAC | 7 | HOLLY WATSON | 6 | 56.0 | 9 | 9 | 9 | - | 9 | 150 | 999 | 201 | 8 | 3.35 | |||
| 09 | MERCURY RISING | 10 | SHAUN O'DONNELL | 3 | 56.0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 85 | 8 | 23 | 999 | 31 | 9 | 4.30 | |||
| 10 | PURE 'N' SIMPLE | 1 | TROY TURNER | 6 | 54.0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - | 9 | 150 | 999 | 151 | 10 | 5.20 |
| 17/01/2026 | Ascot | 5 | 1400m | 4yo & Up No Metro Wins | e 16.8 | a 12.3 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | HELLUVA GODDESS | 8 | HOLLY NOTTLE | 1 | 55.0 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3.4 | 1 | 3.5 | 6 | - | 3.6 | 1 | 3.8 | 16.8 | |
| 02 | SHOW THE WAY | 11 | LAQDAR RAMOLY | 1 | 55.0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 1.5 | 12 | 17 | 2 | 0.20 | -1.5 | |
| 03 | DESERT DANCING | 5 | JOE AZZOPARDI | 6 | 57.5 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 6.2 | 2 | 3.4 | 3 | 6 | 3.5 | 3 | 0.45 | ||
| 04 | DON'T TRUST JUDAS | 10 | STEVEN PARNHAM | 3 | 58.5 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 17.5 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1.15 | ||
| 05 | THE SPRUIKER | 7 | BRANDON LOUIS | 6 | 56.5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 999 | 16 | 5 | 1.90 | |||
| 06 | LATER ALLIGATOR | 9 | VICTORIA CORVER | 6 | 57.0 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 10.5 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 10.5 | 8 | 6 | 1.95 | -2 | |
| 07 | STREET BAND | 2 | CHANEL COOPER | 3 | 59.0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6.4 | 2 | 8.8 | 5.5 | 7 | 4.15 | ||
| 08 | CLIMB ON TOP | 4 | KRISTY BENNETT | 11 | 59.5 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 44 | 10 | 29 | 999 | 61 | 8 | 4.20 | |||
| 09 | CRYPTIC JOY | 6 | ZEPHEN JOHNSTON-PORTER | 6 | 54.0 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 55 | 11 | 60 | 999 | 101 | 9 | 4.35 | |||
| 10 | ROYAL GAP | 3 | NATASHA FAITHFULL | 3 | 54.0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 17 | 0.5 | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4.95 | ||
| 11 | SOLDIER OF GOD | 1 | TROY TURNER | 6 | 55.5 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 8 | 23 | 1 | 20 | 21 | 11 | 7.80 | -1 |
| 17/01/2026 | Ascot | 6 | 1200m | BM 70 | e -9 | a -10 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | SONOFTHEBOSS | 4 | CHANEL COOPER | 4 | 56.5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 5.3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 1 | 5 | ||
| 02 | FANCY RED | 9 | WILLIAM PIKE | 1 | 58.0 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 8.6 | 4 | 8 | 2.5 | - | 9.5 | 2 | 0.25 | -2.5 | |
| 03 | CANNY ROCK | 5 | BRANDON LOUIS | 6 | 57.0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 6 | 9.4 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1.95 | ||
| 04 | HEY PINO | 1 | NATASHA FAITHFULL | 4 | 55.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10.5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2.55 | ||
| 05 | SUPERNATURAL | 8 | HOLLY NOTTLE | 3 | 56.5 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 3.15 | 1 | 3 | 6.5 | - | 3 | 5 | 3.80 | -6.5 | |
| 06 | WICKED VENOM | 2 | HOLLY WATSON | 6 | 54.5 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 9 | 26 | 999 | 31 | 6 | 3.80 | |||
| 07 | ASIF | 10 | AUSTIN GALATI | 2 | 57.5 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 999 | 21 | 7 | 5.20 | |||
| 08 | CIVVY STREET | 3 | JADE MCNAUGHT | 10 | 54.0 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 200 | 10 | 100 | 999 | 201 | 8 | 6.05 | |||
| 09 | SNOW PRINCE | 7 | KESHAW DHURUN | 8 | 58.0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 8 | 15 | 1 | 24 | 19 | 9 | 7.10 | ||
| 10 | NOBELLITY | 6 | LUKE CAMPBELL | 8 | 56.0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 23 | 26 | 10 | 8.65 | -1 |
| 17/01/2026 | Ascot | 7 | 1500m | BM 70 | e -8 | a -11.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | BOLD HERO | 7 | CLINT JOHNSTON-PORTER | 2 | 57.0 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 4.8 | 2 | 9.8 | 5 | 1 | 5 | ||
| 02 | DEEL HER IN | 3 | SHAUN O'DONNELL | 2 | 55.5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 5.6 | 2 | 6.4 | 3.5 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 2 | 0.40 | -3.5 | |
| 03 | SOLDANELLE | 8 | WILLIAM PIKE | 1 | 57.5 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 4.7 | 1 | 3.9 | 4.5 | - | 3.9 | 3 | 0.85 | -4.5 | |
| 04 | RAPID ROCK | 11 | BRANDON LOUIS | 8 | 54.5 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 15.5 | 8 | 23 | 999 | 21 | 4 | 1.45 | |||
| 05 | DENNIS CHOUX | 5 | PATRICK CARBERY | 8 | 57.5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11.5 | 5 | 6.4 | 999 | 6 | 5 | 1.55 | |||
| 06 | DECISION MAKER | 4 | BRAD PARNHAM | 5 | 56.5 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 21 | 1.5 | - | 17 | 6 | 2.70 | -1.5 | |
| 07 | LET'SDEAL | 6 | TROY TURNER | 8 | 56.5 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 34 | 0.5 | - | 71 | 7 | 2.75 | -0.5 | |
| 08 | ALASKAN | 2 | STEVEN PARNHAM | 5 | 54.5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 23 | 1.5 | - | 41 | 8 | 3.30 | -1.5 | |
| 09 | CAMERA ACTION | 9 | ZEPHEN JOHNSTON-PORTER | 8 | 54.0 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 9.8 | 3 | 6.6 | 999 | 9.5 | 9 | 3.35 | |||
| 10 | FIVE DOWN | 1 | CHANEL COOPER | 5 | 52.5 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 16 | 999 | 14 | 10 | 3.65 | |||
| 11 | SNAZZLER | 12 | HOLLY WATSON | 8 | 59.5 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 12 | 26 | 999 | 51 | 11 | 3.85 | |||
| 12 | HESKET | 10 | HOLLY NOTTLE | 4 | 51.5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 11 | 27 | 999 | 101 | 12 | 8.45 |
| 17/01/2026 | Ascot | 8 | 1800m | Restricted 1 Metro Win | e -8 | a -11.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | INVINCIBLE THIEF | 4 | HOLLY NOTTLE | 5 | 53.5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 1 | 4.8 | ||
| 02 | FOREVER DREAMING | 8 | TROY TURNER | 8 | 57.5 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1.5 | 14.5 | 17 | 2 | 0.10 | -1.5 | |
| 03 | CLASSIC IMPACT | 12 | BRANDON LOUIS | 8 | 54.5 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 40 | 11 | 21 | 999 | 41 | 3 | 0.85 | |||
| 04 | BEERMULLAH | 3 | JADE MCNAUGHT | 13 | 56.0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 65 | 13 | 80 | 999 | 201 | 4 | 3.30 | |||
| 05 | GLANCED | 13 | NATASHA FAITHFULL | 6 | 56.0 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 9 | 19 | 0.5 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 3.80 | ||
| 06 | STRIKING FELLA | 1 | KRISTY BENNETT | 13 | 58.5 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 110 | 14 | 80 | 999 | 201 | 6 | 4.00 | |||
| 07 | TERRITORY MAN | 11 | WILLIAM PIKE | 1 | 59.0 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 2.8 | 1 | 2.7 | 7 | - | 2.5 | 7 | 4.30 | -7 | |
| 08 | SWEET SURRENDER | 10 | CLINT JOHNSTON-PORTER | 3 | 56.5 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 14 | 6.5 | 8 | 4.70 | ||
| 09 | RIGHT TO SILENCE | 6 | SHAUN O'DONNELL | 3 | 55.5 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 8 | 23 | 1 | 21 | 17 | 9 | 5.15 | -1 | |
| 10 | ENDLESS JOY | 14 | JOE AZZOPARDI | 8 | 55.0 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 60 | 12 | 46 | 999 | 151 | 10 | 5.55 | |||
| 11 | SECRECY | 5 | JESSICA VALAS | 15 | 57.0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 5 | 21 | 999 | 18 | 11 | 6.05 | |||
| 12 | NO PEER | 2 | LUKE CAMPBELL | 12 | 56.5 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 9 | 23 | 0.5 | 28 | 26 | 12 | 6.50 | ||
| 13 | EXPELLIARMUS | 7 | PATRICK CARBERY | 8 | 54.0 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 170 | 15 | 80 | 999 | 151 | 13 | 6.65 | |||
| 14 | BIGDAYONIT | 15 | STEVEN PARNHAM | 6 | 56.5 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 31 | 14 | 7.35 | -1 | |
| 15 | FIGHT IN FLIGHT | 9 | LUCY FIORE | 1 | 55.5 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 26 | 1 | - | 26 | 15 | 7.40 | -1 |
| 17/01/2026 | Ascot | 9 | 1000m | Restricted 1 Metro Win | e -7 | a -10.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | SANTANOVA | 8 | WILLIAM PIKE | 1 | 60.0 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 7.8 | 3 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 7.6 | 5 | 1 | 5.5 | ||
| 02 | AVOIDANCE | 1 | HOLLY NOTTLE | 4 | 57.0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 38 | 11 | 40 | 0.5 | 38 | 31 | 2 | 0.95 | -0.5 | |
| 03 | EARTH GOD | 4 | STEVEN PARNHAM | 5 | 58.5 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 2 | - | 10 | 3 | 0.95 | -2 | |
| 04 | TWISTED STEEL | 10 | CLINT JOHNSTON-PORTER | 2 | 58.5 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 4 | 1.55 | ||
| 05 | RISE TO GLORY | 3 | PATRICK CARBERY | 9 | 55.5 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 999 | 8.5 | 5 | 1.95 | |||
| 06 | JUSTABITTAPRESS | 7 | BRAD PARNHAM | 5 | 58.0 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 4.2 | 1 | 8.4 | 5 | - | 9.5 | 6 | 2.60 | -5 | |
| 07 | ANABALLISTIC | 2 | JOE AZZOPARDI | 9 | 55.0 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 17.5 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 17 | 17 | 7 | 3.10 | -1 | |
| 08 | RUN PATTIE RUN | 6 | NATASHA FAITHFULL | 5 | 56.5 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 10 | 27 | 999 | 41 | 8 | 3.10 | |||
| 09 | WHO'S BENT | 12 | HOLLY WATSON | 9 | 56.0 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 8 | 16 | 999 | 71 | 9 | 3.50 | |||
| 10 | NICCIMOTA | 9 | CHANEL COOPER | 5 | 56.5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 9.4 | 2 | 10.5 | 11 | 10 | 3.75 | -2 | |
| 11 | LOST GRAVITY | 5 | ZEPHEN JOHNSTON-PORTER | 9 | 56.5 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 9 | 40 | 999 | 61 | 11 | 4.20 | |||
| 12 | ON THE FULL | 11 | ALAN KENNEDY | 13 | 56.5 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 65 | 13 | 50 | 999 | 201 | 12 | 5.75 | |||
| 13 | ART OF SABRAGE | 13 | SHAUN O'DONNELL | 2 | 58.0 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 12 | 70 | 999 | 151 | 13 | 7.35 |
| Legend: br=barrier, jr=jockey rank, wt=weight, pa=early speed rank, cl=closing speed rank, ru=run in transit rank, div=our assessed dividend, rk=our rank, ep=morning book price, sp=starting price, fp=finishing position, mgn=beaten margin, bwd=best/taken price if winner, prf=profit |