hopeia
making the markets
sporting & racing analysis
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| Caulfield Markets |
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| 08/02/2025 | Caulfield | 1 | 1600m | BM 75 | e -8.5 | a -8.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | UNTHINKABLE | 7 | HARRY COFFEY | 7 | 54.0 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 7 | 10 | 999 | 12 | 1 | 12 | |||
| 02 | ONE LONG DAY | 4 | JOHN ALLEN | 5 | 61.5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3.9 | 999 | 3.9 | 2 | 1.25 | |||
| 03 | FEARLESS WRITER | 3 | DAMIAN LANE | 1 | 56.5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - | 9 | 3 | 1.75 | -3 | |
| 04 | HE'S BESET | 2 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 59.5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17.5 | 6 | 6 | 999 | 5.5 | 4 | 2.15 | |||
| 05 | LIBERAMI | 5 | MARK ZAHRA | 5 | 57.0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 3.7 | 1 | 4.2 | 5.5 | - | 4.2 | 5 | 2.55 | -5.5 | |
| 06 | RED PHANTOM | 6 | BEN MELHAM | 1 | 59.0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 7.5 | 999 | 7.5 | 6 | 3.30 | |||
| 07 | BUR DUBAI | 1 | ETHAN BROWN | 1 | 58.0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 4.9 | 2 | 4 | 999 | 6 | 7 | 3.50 |
| 08/02/2025 | Caulfield | 2 | 2000m | BM 70 | e 14.2 | a 14.2 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | EMPHASIZE | 2 | CRAIG WILLIAMS | 1 | 54.5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2.78 | 1 | 2.6 | 7 | - | 3.2 | 1 | 3.6 | 18.2 | |
| 02 | INEVITABLE AWARD | 8 | DANIEL MOOR | 10 | 58.5 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 999 | 4.4 | 2 | 0.40 | |||
| 03 | SPEAK | 4 | SHANE FOLEY | 8 | 54.5 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 7 | 23 | 999 | 41 | 3 | 2.40 | |||
| 04 | PERFECT PLAY | 3 | JETT STANLEY | 8 | 59.0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 5.2 | 2 | 4.8 | 4 | - | 6 | 4 | 2.60 | -4 | |
| 05 | LODBROK | 7 | BEN ALLEN | 1 | 59.0 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 8.4 | 3 | 11 | 999 | 8 | 5 | 5.35 | |||
| 06 | CABLE DANCER | 6 | BEAU MERTENS | 1 | 60.0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 11.5 | 5 | 8 | 999 | 8 | 6 | 5.60 | |||
| 07 | MANNERHEIM | 1 | DAMIAN LANE | 1 | 58.5 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 6 | 9.5 | 999 | 9 | 7 | 8.35 | |||
| 08 | SPERANZOSO | 5 | JAMIE MOTT | 1 | 59.0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 26 | 999 | 26 | 8 | 13.35 | |||
| 09 | THORIN | 10 | JAYLAH KENNEDY | 6 | 60.0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 46 | 9 | 41 | 999 | 21 | 9 | 23.35 | |||
| 10 | MISSION PHOENIX | 9 | TOM PREBBLE | 6 | 59.5 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 10 | 51 | 999 | 101 | 10 | 24.60 |
| 08/02/2025 | Caulfield | 3 | 2000m | 3yo & Up BM 100 | e -3.5 | a -3.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | GARACHICO | 5 | HARRY COFFEY | 8 | 54.0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 15.5 | 9 | 13 | 999 | 12 | 1 | 13 | |||
| 02 | GRAND PIERRO | 4 | ZAC SPAIN | 8 | 58.0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 12.5 | 6 | 9 | 999 | 10 | 2 | 0.30 | |||
| 03 | SHAIYHAR | 9 | CRAIG WILLIAMS | 1 | 55.5 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 7.6 | 3 | 4.8 | 999 | 4 | 3 | 0.45 | |||
| 04 | BANKERS CHOICE | 2 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 1 | 59.5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 999 | 10 | 4 | 2.70 | |||
| 05 | BERKSHIRE BREEZE | 10 | MARK ZAHRA | 6 | 58.0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 999 | 5.5 | 5 | 3.70 | |||
| 06 | UNITED NATIONS | 6 | JYE MCNEIL | 6 | 53.0 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 13.5 | 8 | 15 | 999 | 26 | 6 | 3.70 | |||
| 07 | SPEYCASTER | 3 | BEAU MERTENS | 1 | 53.0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 7.5 | 3 | - | 6.5 | 7 | 4.45 | -3 | |
| 08 | TOURISTIC | 8 | DAMIAN LANE | 1 | 56.5 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 999 | 5 | 8 | 4.95 | |||
| 09 | MEHZEBEEN | 1 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 57.5 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 999 | 15 | 9 | 7.70 | |||
| 10 | AURORA'S SYMPHONY | 7 | JORDAN CHILDS | 8 | 57.5 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 60 | 10 | 51 | 0.5 | - | 61 | 10 | 9.20 | -0.5 |
| 08/02/2025 | Caulfield | 4 | 1100m | 2yo Colts & Geldings Group 3 | e 13.3 | a 13.3 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | FIELD OF PLAY | 5 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 57.0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2.96 | 1 | 3.1 | 7 | - | 2.9 | 1 | 3.25 | 15.8 | |
| 02 | DEVIL NIGHT | 1 | SHANE FOLEY | 9 | 57.0 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 90 | 9 | 34 | 999 | 41 | 2 | 0.45 | |||
| 03 | KATSUMI OROCHI | 3 | BEN ALLEN | 1 | 57.0 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 70 | 8 | 26 | 999 | 81 | 3 | 2.45 | |||
| 04 | TYCOON STAR | 9 | MARK ZAHRA | 6 | 57.0 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 7.8 | 3 | 6.5 | 2.5 | - | 6 | 4 | 2.50 | -2.5 | |
| 05 | ALEPPO PINE | 2 | JAMIE MELHAM | 11 | 57.0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3.5 | 2 | 2.3 | 999 | 2.5 | 5 | 3.50 | |||
| 06 | AUTUMN MYSTERY | 11 | PATRICK MOLONEY | 9 | 57.0 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 160 | 11 | 51 | 999 | 61 | 6 | 3.90 | |||
| 07 | OLATUNDE | 8 | BILLY EGAN | 6 | 57.0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 110 | 10 | 81 | 999 | 101 | 7 | 4.15 | |||
| 08 | MENSHEVIK | 7 | DAMIAN LANE | 1 | 57.0 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 7 | 19 | 999 | 26 | 8 | 4.90 | |||
| 09 | VICTORY TUNE | 4 | BEN MELHAM | 1 | 57.0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 18 | 999 | 15 | 9 | 5.65 | |||
| 10 | YAMASHITA'S GOLD | 6 | JAMIE MOTT | 1 | 57.0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10.5 | 4 | 18 | 999 | 17 | 10 | 7.90 | |||
| 11 | LOFTY THOUGHTS | 10 | JYE MCNEIL | 6 | 57.0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 6 | 16 | 999 | 21 | 11 | 12.40 |
| 08/02/2025 | Caulfield | 5 | 1100m | 2yo Fillies Group 2 | e -5.5 | a -5.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | PALM ANGEL | 3 | ETHAN BROWN | 1 | 56.0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7.5 | 999 | 7.5 | 1 | 7.5 | |||
| 02 | MY GLADIOLA | 10 | JAMIE MOTT | 1 | 56.0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2.36 | 1 | 1.7 | 999 | 1.9 | 2 | 1.00 | |||
| 03 | WILTSHIRE SQUARE | 9 | SHANE FOLEY | 7 | 56.0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 7.6 | 4 | 9 | 2.5 | - | 5 | 3 | 1.75 | -2.5 | |
| 04 | MISS CELINE | 1 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 56.0 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6.2 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - | 18 | 4 | 2.50 | -3 | |
| 05 | ODESSA | 7 | LUKE CURRIE | 7 | 56.0 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 120 | 8 | 23 | 999 | 41 | 5 | 3.25 | |||
| 06 | GIN SPIRIT | 4 | JAMIE MELHAM | 10 | 56.0 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 999 | 21 | 6 | 4.00 | |||
| 07 | EXPULSION | 6 | MARK ZAHRA | 4 | 56.0 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 60 | 7 | 34 | 999 | 21 | 7 | 4.75 | |||
| 08 | SUPERGRACE | 8 | BILLY EGAN | 4 | 56.0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - | 10 | 51 | 999 | 101 | 8 | 5.25 | |||
| 09 | EXIT | 2 | THOMAS STOCKDALE | 4 | 56.0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 16.5 | 5 | 9 | 999 | 7 | 9 | 6.00 | |||
| 10 | LA REINE | 5 | ZAC SPAIN | 7 | 56.0 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 120 | 8 | 61 | 999 | 101 | 10 | 14.00 |
| 08/02/2025 | Caulfield | 6 | 1100m | Open Group 2 | e 17.3 | a 17.3 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | REY MAGNERIO | 7 | JYE MCNEIL | 5 | 58.0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2.96 | 1 | 4.4 | 7 | - | 3.7 | 1 | 4.4 | 23.8 | |
| 02 | INSURRECTION | 2 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 58.0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4.5 | 2 | 3.5 | 999 | 3.7 | 2 | 0.10 | |||
| 03 | PRAIRIE FLOWER | 6 | JAMIE MELHAM | 7 | 56.0 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 14.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 999 | 5.5 | 3 | 1.35 | |||
| 04 | MAHARBA | 4 | JORDAN CHILDS | 6 | 58.5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | - | 3.8 | 4 | 2.60 | -4 | |
| 05 | MISS ARIA | 3 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 1 | 55.0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8.6 | 4 | 16 | 2.5 | - | 13 | 5 | 2.60 | -2.5 | |
| 06 | TITLE FIGHTER | 5 | JAMIE MOTT | 1 | 57.0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 60 | 7 | 21 | 999 | 31 | 6 | 3.60 | |||
| 07 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 1 | DAMIAN LANE | 1 | 55.5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 999 | 12 | 7 | 5.10 |
| 08/02/2025 | Caulfield | 7 | 1400m | 3yo Group 2 | e -7.5 | a -7.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ANGEL CAPITAL | 6 | BEN MELHAM | 1 | 58.5 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 6.2 | 4 | 3.1 | 999 | 2.7 | 1 | 3.1 | |||
| 02 | PLYMOUTH | 1 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 57.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5.8 | 2 | 8 | 3.5 | - | 10 | 2 | 1.50 | -3.5 | |
| 03 | EVAPORATE | 3 | MARK ZAHRA | 5 | 58.5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4.1 | 1 | 3.7 | 999 | 3.7 | 3 | 2.75 | |||
| 04 | DETROIT CITY | 2 | BILLY EGAN | 5 | 57.0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 999 | 13 | 4 | 3.20 | |||
| 05 | STATUARIO | 7 | DAMIAN LANE | 1 | 57.0 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 5.9 | 3 | 11 | 3.5 | - | 20 | 5 | 3.40 | -3.5 | |
| 06 | JENNI THE FOX | 4 | CRAIG NEWITT | 7 | 55.0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 8 | 13 | 999 | 21 | 6 | 3.55 | |||
| 07 | CATOGGIO | 5 | JAMIE MELHAM | 8 | 58.0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 9.4 | 5 | 4.4 | 999 | 4.2 | 7 | 3.65 | |||
| 08 | ACTA NON VERBA | 8 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 1 | 57.0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 32 | 7 | 61 | 0.5 | - | 61 | 8 | 5.90 | -0.5 |
| 08/02/2025 | Caulfield | 8 | 1600m | 4yo & Up Group 3 | e -10 | a -10 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | DUKE DE SESSA | 4 | HARRY COFFEY | 8 | 60.0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 999 | 17 | 1 | 17 | |||
| 02 | MARBLE ARCH | 8 | JAMIE MELHAM | 12 | 55.0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10.5 | 5 | 4.8 | 999 | 4.8 | 2 | 0.30 | |||
| 03 | CHORLTON LANE | 1 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 58.0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4.6 | 1 | 3.6 | 4.5 | - | 4 | 3 | 0.65 | -4.5 | |
| 04 | MUNHAMEK | 6 | BILLY EGAN | 6 | 58.0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7.5 | 4 | - | 6.5 | 4 | 2.65 | -4 | |
| 05 | DASHING DUCHESS | 7 | JORDAN CHILDS | 8 | 55.5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 120 | 12 | 71 | 999 | 101 | 5 | 3.65 | |||
| 06 | WINGS OF SONG | 12 | JAKE NOONAN | 10 | 56.5 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 9.6 | 4 | 10 | 999 | 8.5 | 6 | 3.70 | |||
| 07 | ELPHINSTONE | 10 | BEAU MERTENS | 1 | 55.0 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 7.4 | 3 | 11 | 999 | 8.5 | 7 | 3.90 | |||
| 08 | TORRANZINO | 5 | THOMAS STOCKDALE | 6 | 58.0 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 80 | 11 | 31 | 999 | 51 | 8 | 4.90 | |||
| 09 | WINDSTORM | 3 | JAMIE MOTT | 1 | 57.0 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 1.5 | - | 9 | 8 | 4.90 | -1.5 | |
| 10 | BUFFALO RIVER | 2 | CELINE GAUDRAY | 10 | 57.0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 27 | 9 | 26 | 999 | 31 | 10 | 5.00 | |||
| 11 | HOWGOODAREYOU | 9 | CRAIG WILLIAMS | 1 | 55.0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 24 | 8 | 11 | 999 | 14 | 11 | 7.50 | |||
| 12 | WARMONGER | 11 | ETHAN BROWN | 1 | 60.0 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 55 | 10 | 21 | 999 | 26 | 12 | 7.75 |
| 08/02/2025 | Caulfield | 9 | 1400m | Weight for Age Group 1 | e -4.5 | a -4.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ANOTHER WIL | 3 | JAMIE MELHAM | 10 | 59.0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 3.3 | 999 | 3.3 | 1 | 3.3 | |||
| 02 | MR BRIGHTSIDE | 8 | CRAIG WILLIAMS | 1 | 59.0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 2.74 | 1 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 2.74 | 2.6 | 2 | 0.35 | ||
| 03 | STEPARTY | 4 | BLAIKE MCDOUGALL | 9 | 59.0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 6 | 15 | 999 | 14 | 3 | 5.10 | |||
| 04 | PRIVATE LIFE | 1 | DAMIAN LANE | 1 | 55.5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5.3 | 2 | 8.5 | 4 | - | 9 | 4 | 5.50 | -4 | |
| 05 | SEMANA | 9 | THOMAS STOCKDALE | 6 | 57.0 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 6 | 51 | 999 | 41 | 5 | 6.00 | |||
| 06 | SOUTHPORT TYCOON | 2 | MARK ZAHRA | 6 | 59.0 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 15.5 | 5 | 14 | 999 | 13 | 6 | 6.40 | |||
| 07 | SUPER SMINK | 5 | JOHN ALLEN | 6 | 57.0 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 85 | 10 | 34 | 999 | 51 | 7 | 6.70 | |||
| 08 | FREEDOM RALLY | 6 | ETHAN BROWN | 1 | 59.0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 6 | 41 | 0.5 | - | 61 | 8 | 7.15 | -0.5 | |
| 09 | PINSTRIPED | 10 | BEN ALLEN | 1 | 59.0 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 9 | 21 | 999 | 26 | 9 | 7.90 | |||
| 10 | SCHWARZ | 7 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 59.0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 8.8 | 4 | 8 | 2.5 | 8.8 | 8.5 | 10 | 8.00 |
| 08/02/2025 | Caulfield | 10 | 1100m | 3yo Fillies Group 3 | e 6.7 | a 6.7 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ARABIAN SUMMER | 7 | HARRY COFFEY | 8 | 57.0 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 3.05 | 1 | 2.8 | 6.5 | - | 2.6 | 1 | 2.8 | 11.7 | |
| 02 | TOBEORNOTTOBE | 4 | ETHAN BROWN | 1 | 58.5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6.8 | 3 | 7 | 999 | 7.5 | 2 | 0.20 | |||
| 03 | SHADHAVAR | 3 | JOHN ALLEN | 6 | 56.0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16.5 | 5 | 16 | 1 | - | 21 | 3 | 0.65 | -1 | |
| 04 | CERTAIN RISE | 9 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 57.5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4.9 | 2 | 6.5 | 4 | - | 6 | 4 | 2.40 | -4 | |
| 05 | KIRRIBILLI | 5 | JAMIE MELHAM | 11 | 56.0 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 8 | 9.5 | 999 | 9.5 | 5 | 2.50 | |||
| 06 | MADRINA | 11 | BEAU MERTENS | 1 | 57.0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 40 | 9 | 34 | 999 | 61 | 6 | 3.00 | |||
| 07 | ACTUALITY | 8 | LUKE CURRIE | 8 | 56.0 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 6 | 26 | 999 | 26 | 7 | 3.75 | |||
| 08 | RICH DOTTIE | 2 | SHANE FOLEY | 8 | 57.0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 46 | 10 | 8.5 | 999 | 14 | 8 | 4.25 | |||
| 09 | IMMORTAL STAR | 6 | DAMIAN LANE | 1 | 57.0 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 80 | 11 | 61 | 999 | 71 | 9 | 4.40 | |||
| 10 | DRIFTING | 1 | JYE MCNEIL | 6 | 58.5 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 6.5 | 999 | 7 | 10 | 5.15 | |||
| 11 | RELUCTANTLYCHARMED | 10 | CRAIG WILLIAMS | 1 | 57.0 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 7 | 16 | 999 | 19 | 11 | 5.90 |
| Legend: br=barrier, jr=jockey rank, wt=weight, pa=early speed rank, cl=closing speed rank, ru=run in transit rank, div=our assessed dividend, rk=our rank, ep=morning book price, sp=starting price, fp=finishing position, mgn=beaten margin, bwd=best/taken price if winner, prf=profit |