hopeia
making the markets
sporting & racing analysis
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| Cranbourne Markets |
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| 05/05/2023 | Cranbourne | 1 | 1200m | 2yo Fillies Maiden |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ANTICKS | 2 | JAMIE MOTT | 5 | 57.0 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 6.6 | 2 | 8 | 999 | 8 | 1 | 8 | |||
| 02 | CATTRALL | 9 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 2 | 57.0 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 4.8 | 1 | 4.8 | 999 | 6 | 2 | 1.00 | |||
| 03 | RIGHT TO PARTY | 7 | BEN ALLEN | 2 | 57.0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6.8 | 3 | 3.9 | 999 | 2.8 | 3 | 1.40 | |||
| 04 | STARSCENT | 1 | JYE MCNEIL | 5 | 57.0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 999 | 10 | 4 | 1.70 | |||
| 05 | TOKYO STAR | 6 | ARRON LYNCH | 9 | 57.0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 9 | 19 | 999 | 31 | 5 | 1.90 | |||
| 06 | MOUNT DOVE | 5 | BEAU MERTENS | 1 | 57.0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 999 | 18 | 6 | 2.65 | |||
| 07 | OUR CRACKLIN ROSIE | 8 | JAKE NOONAN | 8 | 57.0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7.4 | 4 | 9 | 999 | 14 | 7 | 2.75 | |||
| 08 | CUMIN SPINNER | 4 | DECLAN BATES | 5 | 57.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8.4 | 5 | 5 | 999 | 5.5 | 8 | 5.50 | |||
| 09 | FEARSOMELY | 3 | MICHAEL DEE | 2 | 57.0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9.2 | 6 | 7 | 999 | 8.5 | 9 | 7.00 |
| 05/05/2023 | Cranbourne | 2 | 1400m | 4yo & Up Maiden |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | SUPER VALENTINE | 4 | REMI TREMSAL | 7 | 59.5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 999 | 9 | 1 | 9 | |||
| 02 | ELLY DEE | 6 | BEN ALLEN | 1 | 57.5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2.26 | 1 | 1.9 | 999 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.20 | |||
| 03 | TONARE | 2 | ZAC SPAIN | 1 | 57.5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 6 | 13 | 999 | 19 | 3 | 4.20 | |||
| 04 | PALENTINE'S DAY | 10 | DECLAN BATES | 4 | 59.5 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 999 | 4.6 | 4 | 4.50 | |||
| 05 | SPARKLING ADICTION | 3 | MADISON LLOYD | 10 | 57.5 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 60 | 7 | 41 | 999 | 101 | 5 | 4.90 | |||
| 06 | GULF OF GUINEA | 9 | MICHAEL DEE | 1 | 59.5 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 6.2 | 2 | 7.5 | 999 | 6.5 | 6 | 5.10 | |||
| 07 | SEWN | 5 | CARLEEN HEFEL | 4 | 57.5 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 60 | 7 | 81 | 999 | 101 | 7 | 8.85 | |||
| 08 | MISS DAYTONA | 7 | CALLAN MURRAY | 4 | 57.5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 65 | 9 | 126 | 999 | 101 | 8 | 10.85 | |||
| 09 | MANGWANANI | 8 | FRED W KERSLEY | 7 | 59.5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7.2 | 3 | 10 | 999 | 19 | 9 | 13.10 | |||
| 10 | FLAMMA | 1 | THOMAS STOCKDALE | 7 | 59.5 | 10 | 2 | 5 | - | 10 | 81 | 999 | 51 | 10 | 21.10 |
| 05/05/2023 | Cranbourne | 3 | 1400m | 3yo Maiden | e -10 | a -10 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | KING NEPTUNE | 6 | JYE MCNEIL | 5 | 58.0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5.1 | 2 | 2.5 | 999 | 3 | 1 | 3 | |||
| 02 | REAL ALLIANCE | 3 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 2 | 56.0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2.9 | 999 | 2.3 | 2 | 1.25 | |||
| 03 | POIEMA | 5 | ZAC SPAIN | 2 | 56.0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4.5 | 1 | 5 | 4.5 | - | 6.5 | 3 | 2.50 | -4.5 | |
| 04 | THISISMYTURF | 4 | THOMAS STOCKDALE | 7 | 58.0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 8.6 | 5 | 7.5 | 999 | 13 | 4 | 4.00 | |||
| 05 | BRAMBLE | 1 | AMY HERRMANN | 9 | 56.0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 2 | - | 31 | 5 | 5.50 | -2 | |
| 06 | SHASAM | 2 | DYLAN TURNER | 2 | 56.0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5.8 | 3 | 9.5 | 3.5 | - | 8.5 | 6 | 6.75 | -3.5 | |
| 07 | FAIR LEGACY | 8 | BEAU MERTENS | 1 | 56.0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 7 | 26 | 999 | 51 | 7 | 12.75 | |||
| 08 | FIRE PRINCE | 7 | JAKE NOONAN | 7 | 58.0 | 8 | 6 | 9 | - | 8 | 126 | 999 | 101 | 8 | 14.25 |
| 05/05/2023 | Cranbourne | 4 | 2520m | 3yo & Up Maiden |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | STORMY GREY | 1 | CALLAN MURRAY | 3 | 57.5 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 2.64 | 1 | 2.3 | 999 | 2.5 | 1 | 2.5 | |||
| 02 | KEEVS | 10 | ZAC SPAIN | 1 | 59.5 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 9.4 | 4 | 8 | 999 | 7.5 | 2 | 3.50 | |||
| 03 | MY LANCELOT | 4 | DYLAN TURNER | 1 | 59.5 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 26 | 999 | 21 | 3 | 7.50 | |||
| 04 | THISTLER | 9 | AMY HERRMANN | 9 | 59.5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8.2 | 3 | 3.1 | 999 | 3.5 | 4 | 7.70 | |||
| 05 | LONESTAR CHARLIE | 8 | THOMAS STOCKDALE | 5 | 59.5 | 7 | 5 | 9 | - | 10 | 101 | 999 | 101 | 5 | 9.95 | |||
| 06 | DREAM STORM | 6 | JAKE NOONAN | 5 | 59.5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 16.5 | 7 | 101 | 999 | 101 | 6 | 10.05 | |||
| 07 | CARDIO | 5 | ARRON LYNCH | 9 | 59.5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 9.5 | 999 | 12 | 7 | 11.05 | |||
| 08 | REGAL SON | 7 | MADISON LLOYD | 7 | 59.5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 70 | 9 | 34 | 999 | 51 | 8 | 15.55 | |||
| 09 | SHEZA PIRANHA | 2 | BRIAN HIGGINS | 7 | 57.5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 8 | 151 | 999 | 91 | 9 | 23.55 | |||
| 10 | WAMBEEN | 3 | JAMIE MOTT | 3 | 59.5 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 6.6 | 2 | 4.8 | 999 | 4.6 | 10 | 24.05 |
| 05/05/2023 | Cranbourne | 5 | 2025m | 3yo & Up BM 65 | e -3 | a -3 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | CAPTAIN PLUTO | 2 | MICHAEL DEE | 3 | 59.5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 6.6 | 3 | 4.6 | 999 | 4 | 1 | 4.6 | |||
| 02 | ARAGON | 1 | BEAU MERTENS | 1 | 58.5 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 8 | 15 | 999 | 15 | 2 | 0.50 | |||
| 03 | PHILADELPHIA STORM | 8 | ZAC SPAIN | 3 | 60.0 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 5.5 | 999 | 8 | 3 | 0.70 | |||
| 04 | STATELY STAR | 9 | JAMIE MOTT | 5 | 59.0 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 7 | 19 | 999 | 17 | 4 | 1.45 | |||
| 05 | WANDA'S OUTLAW | 10 | GARY LO | 1 | 56.0 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 999 | 8 | 5 | 2.45 | |||
| 06 | STRUCK TWICE | 12 | THOMAS STOCKDALE | 9 | 59.0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 7.2 | 5 | 7.5 | 999 | 12 | 6 | 2.55 | |||
| 07 | WHIRLY JIG | 4 | FRED W KERSLEY | 9 | 58.5 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 9 | 16 | 999 | 14 | 7 | 2.75 | |||
| 08 | MEINLAS | 5 | DECLAN BATES | 5 | 59.0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 6.4 | 2 | 6.5 | 3 | - | 5 | 8 | 3.05 | -3 | |
| 09 | MISS TARZY | 7 | JYE MCNEIL | 5 | 56.5 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 8.5 | 999 | 12 | 9 | 3.80 | |||
| 10 | GIFT OF ORATORY | 6 | JAKE NOONAN | 9 | 59.0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 999 | 26 | 10 | 5.55 | |||
| 11 | MORECORUBA | 3 | CARLEEN HEFEL | 5 | 57.5 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 50 | 11 | 16 | 999 | 13 | 11 | 7.55 | |||
| 12 | CONTINUATION | 11 | ARRON LYNCH | 12 | 58.0 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 110 | 12 | 31 | 999 | 71 | 12 | 11.30 |
| 05/05/2023 | Cranbourne | 6 | 1600m | BM 65 | e -9 | a -9 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | LET FLY | 6 | MADISON LLOYD | 5 | 58.0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3.8 | 2 | 3 | 999 | 3.7 | 1 | 3.7 | |||
| 02 | DANTE'S PEAK | 3 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 2 | 59.5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3.9 | 999 | 4.4 | 2 | 1.50 | |||
| 03 | EPSOM DAYS | 7 | FRED W KERSLEY | 4 | 57.0 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 5 | 12 | 999 | 14 | 3 | 1.90 | |||
| 04 | HESITATE | 1 | ZAC SPAIN | 2 | 58.5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6.6 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - | 5.5 | 4 | 3.15 | -3 | |
| 05 | GUNSABLAZIN' | 4 | AMY HERRMANN | 6 | 57.5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 65 | 7 | 51 | 999 | 61 | 5 | 5.40 | |||
| 06 | HIGHBOY | 2 | ARRON LYNCH | 6 | 58.5 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 9.5 | 999 | 10 | 6 | 11.65 | |||
| 07 | KING SAMUEL | 5 | BEAU MERTENS | 1 | 61.0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | 3.2 | 6 | - | 3.1 | 7 | 12.40 | -6 |
| 05/05/2023 | Cranbourne | 7 | 1400m | BM 65 | e 29.5 | a 29.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | CHARM WING | 10 | FRED W KERSLEY | 8 | 57.5 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 13.5 | 6 | 23 | 1.5 | - | 21 | 1 | 25 | 36 | |
| 02 | TOKENIST | 9 | BEAU MERTENS | 1 | 59.5 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 7.4 | 3 | 2.6 | 999 | 4.2 | 2 | 0.40 | |||
| 03 | MOTHEREENS | 5 | GARY LO | 1 | 56.0 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 10.5 | 4 | 18 | 999 | 31 | 3 | 0.70 | |||
| 04 | JET DE LUNE | 2 | BRIAN HIGGINS | 10 | 59.0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 999 | 9.5 | 4 | 1.00 | |||
| 05 | TITAN OF CHOICE | 6 | JYE MCNEIL | 6 | 58.0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 6.6 | 2 | 5 | 999 | 6.5 | 5 | 1.20 | |||
| 06 | LE FERRARI | 3 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 3 | 59.0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3.8 | 1 | 4 | 5.5 | - | 2.6 | 6 | 1.40 | -5.5 | |
| 07 | OSCAR BRAVO | 8 | THOMAS STOCKDALE | 3 | 58.5 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 36 | 10 | 41 | 999 | 71 | 7 | 3.40 | |||
| 08 | BRASS EYE | 4 | DYLAN TURNER | 3 | 56.0 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 9 | 26 | 999 | 26 | 8 | 4.40 | |||
| 09 | BONJOUR DE GAULLE | 1 | JAMIE MOTT | 6 | 59.0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 999 | 8.5 | 9 | 19.40 | |||
| 10 | WITHOUT EXCUSE | 11 | JAKE NOONAN | 8 | 57.5 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 11 | 26 | 999 | 26 | 10 | 19.90 | |||
| 11 | CHAPEL LANE | 7 | ARRON LYNCH | 11 | 59.0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 17.5 | 8 | 16 | 1 | - | 41 | 11 | 22.90 | -1 |
| 05/05/2023 | Cranbourne | 8 | 1200m | BM 65 | e -6 | a -6 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | EAGLE HAWK STAR | 4 | ZAC SPAIN | 2 | 59.0 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 4.4 | 1 | 5 | 999 | 4.4 | 1 | 5 | |||
| 02 | TWIN PERFECTION | 1 | GARY LO | 1 | 57.0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6.6 | 3 | 3.5 | 999 | 2.5 | 2 | 0.10 | |||
| 03 | HYDRO STAR | 8 | JAMIE MOTT | 5 | 60.0 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 9.8 | 6 | 8.5 | 999 | 11 | 3 | 1.60 | |||
| 04 | ROSSMAN | 2 | JYE MCNEIL | 5 | 59.5 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 18 | 999 | 19 | 4 | 3.10 | |||
| 05 | ABADDON | 3 | PAUL GATT | 9 | 59.0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 9.5 | 999 | 15 | 5 | 3.85 | |||
| 06 | CATALINA BLACK CAT | 6 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 2 | 59.5 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 8.8 | 5 | 10 | 2.5 | - | 10 | 6 | 3.95 | -2.5 | |
| 07 | BURTON STREET | 7 | BRIAN HIGGINS | 8 | 59.5 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 24 | 8 | 26 | 999 | 21 | 7 | 7.45 | |||
| 08 | SWISS BABE | 5 | THOMAS STOCKDALE | 7 | 57.0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5.9 | 2 | 3.6 | 3.5 | - | 7.5 | 8 | 9.95 | -3.5 | |
| 09 | EXCEED EXPECT | 9 | JAKE NOONAN | 2 | 60.0 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 7.8 | 4 | 9 | 999 | 15 | 9 | 16.95 |
| Legend: br=barrier, jr=jockey rank, wt=weight, pa=early speed rank, cl=closing speed rank, ru=run in transit rank, div=our assessed dividend, rk=our rank, ep=morning book price, sp=starting price, fp=finishing position, mgn=beaten margin, bwd=best/taken price if winner, prf=profit |