hopeia
making the markets
sporting & racing analysis
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| Cranbourne Markets |
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| 28/09/2022 | Cranbourne | 1 | 1400m | 3yo Fillies Maiden | e -7.5 | a -7.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | FAR FROM DISCREET | 5 | ZAC SPAIN | 7 | 57.0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10.5 | 5 | 6 | 999 | 6.5 | 1 | 6.5 | |||
| 02 | RULE OF TIME | 8 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 57.0 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 4.3 | 1 | 2.7 | 999 | 3.5 | 2 | 1.00 | |||
| 03 | ZENNZELLA | 11 | ETHAN BROWN | 4 | 57.0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - | 8 | 3 | 1.10 | -2 | |
| 04 | MISS SASSY | 7 | LUKE NOLEN | 1 | 57.0 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 4.7 | 2 | 10 | 4.5 | - | 9 | 4 | 1.30 | -4.5 | |
| 05 | DREAMSTONE | 3 | BRETT PREBBLE | 1 | 57.0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 70 | 11 | 61 | 999 | 31 | 5 | 1.40 | |||
| 06 | QUEEN LATIFA | 1 | THOMAS STOCKDALE | 9 | 57.0 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 3.4 | 999 | 3.9 | 6 | 2.15 | |||
| 07 | ALABAMA GOLD | 9 | JACK HILL | 7 | 57.0 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 8 | 126 | 999 | 101 | 7 | 3.40 | |||
| 08 | VINCIBLE | 12 | DAMIEN THORNTON | 9 | 57.0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16.5 | 6 | 26 | 999 | 14 | 8 | 3.80 | |||
| 09 | LAISVAS | 10 | BRIAN HIGGINS | 12 | 57.0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 999 | 26 | 9 | 4.80 | |||
| 10 | LOVE NEST | 6 | MICHAEL DEE | 4 | 57.0 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 16.5 | 6 | 15 | 1 | - | 15 | 10 | 6.55 | -1 | |
| 11 | MUZUKASHII | 4 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 4 | 57.0 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 10 | 26 | 999 | 26 | 11 | 6.65 | |||
| 12 | ALL FROSTED | 2 | JAKE NOONAN | 9 | 57.0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 95 | 12 | 61 | 999 | 71 | 12 | 8.40 |
| 28/09/2022 | Cranbourne | 2 | 1400m | 3yo & Up Maiden |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | SAMEDI | 1 | JASON MASKIELL | 7 | 59.5 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 999 | 10 | 1 | 10 | |||
| 02 | SIR ROCKFORD | 3 | BRIAN HIGGINS | 12 | 59.5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3.9 | 2 | 2.4 | 999 | 2.1 | 2 | 2.00 | |||
| 03 | GOTTABESAVVY | 11 | DANIEL MOOR | 7 | 57.0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 999 | 21 | 3 | 2.50 | |||
| 04 | GULF OF GUINEA | 5 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 59.5 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3.65 | 1 | 4.2 | 999 | 4.2 | 4 | 3.00 | |||
| 05 | FLIGHT TO THE MOON | 9 | MARK ZAHRA | 1 | 59.5 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 999 | 5 | 5 | 3.50 | |||
| 06 | SILVER TYCOON | 13 | ARRON LYNCH | 7 | 59.5 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 60 | 11 | 34 | 999 | 91 | 6 | 3.90 | |||
| 07 | FOXY TYCOON | 6 | BLAIKE MCDOUGALL | 5 | 57.5 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 16.5 | 5 | 126 | 999 | 81 | 7 | 5.90 | |||
| 08 | MISS GREYSFULL | 4 | DAMIEN THORNTON | 7 | 55.0 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 13 | 41 | 999 | 51 | 8 | 6.90 | |||
| 09 | JENNI OF AVALON | 8 | BRIAN PARK | 12 | 57.5 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 8 | 21 | 999 | 31 | 9 | 7.00 | |||
| 10 | SCRAMBLER | 7 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 3 | 59.5 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 60 | 11 | 101 | 999 | 101 | 10 | 10.75 | |||
| 11 | LEROY LION | 2 | THOMAS STOCKDALE | 7 | 59.5 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 29 | 9 | 41 | 999 | 51 | 11 | 11.50 | |||
| 12 | CLIPPER SHIP | 10 | MICHAEL DEE | 3 | 59.5 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 10 | 126 | 999 | 101 | 12 | 11.90 | |||
| 13 | DIAMANDA | 12 | MATTHEW CARTWRIGHT | 5 | 57.5 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 7 | 81 | 999 | 81 | 13 | 12.65 |
| 28/09/2022 | Cranbourne | 3 | 1200m | 3yo & Up Maiden | e -2.5 | a -2.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | CLIMBING STAR | 2 | ZAC SPAIN | 5 | 55.0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 5.6 | 2 | 3.7 | 999 | 3 | 1 | 3.7 | |||
| 02 | CALICO JACK | 4 | ETHAN BROWN | 3 | 57.0 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3.1 | 1 | 2.5 | 999 | 3.3 | 2 | 1.75 | |||
| 03 | BODY BOB | 8 | DANIEL MOOR | 6 | 57.0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 8.6 | 4 | 9.5 | 2.5 | - | 9.5 | 3 | 4.00 | -2.5 | |
| 04 | FIGHTING FORCE | 12 | JOE BOWDITCH | 6 | 59.5 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 200 | 11 | 101 | 999 | 31 | 4 | 4.75 | |||
| 05 | GRANNY'S REWARD | 10 | JAKE NOONAN | 6 | 57.5 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 999 | 26 | 5 | 5.05 | |||
| 06 | LAKE AGAWAM | 3 | LUKE NOLEN | 1 | 57.0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 7.6 | 3 | 5 | 999 | 4.8 | 6 | 5.25 | |||
| 07 | ALCHIAN | 9 | MICHAEL DEE | 3 | 57.0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 999 | 21 | 7 | 6.75 | |||
| 08 | CEECEETEEVEE | 1 | BRIAN HIGGINS | 10 | 57.0 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 8 | 81 | 999 | 41 | 8 | 6.85 | |||
| 09 | JENNI EXPRESS | 6 | BRIAN PARK | 10 | 57.5 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 9 | 71 | 999 | 61 | 9 | 10.35 | |||
| 10 | TEEMING AT TIMES | 11 | YOKO OTA | 12 | 57.5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 10 | 151 | 999 | 101 | 10 | 12.35 | |||
| 11 | MUNCHETTE | 7 | DAMIEN THORNTON | 6 | 57.5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 7 | 26 | 999 | 26 | 11 | 14.85 | |||
| 12 | CAESAR ROCK | 5 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 57.0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - | 12 | 31 | 999 | 21 | 12 | 14.95 |
| 28/09/2022 | Cranbourne | 4 | 1600m | 3yo & Up Maiden | e -4.5 | a -4.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | CRUX | 9 | LUKE NOLEN | 1 | 59.5 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 2.56 | 1 | 1.75 | 999 | 1.7 | 1 | 1.75 | |||
| 02 | ZEST FOR LIFE | 4 | DANIEL MOOR | 5 | 55.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 8 | 12 | 999 | 15 | 2 | 0.50 | |||
| 03 | NOUVEAU MARCHE | 10 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 57.0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 5.4 | 2 | 5 | 3.5 | - | 4.8 | 3 | 1.00 | -3.5 | |
| 04 | VANCOUVER BAY | 11 | DAMIEN THORNTON | 5 | 59.5 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 7.6 | 3 | 5 | 999 | 6 | 4 | 2.25 | |||
| 05 | HALLOWED RUBY | 5 | JAKE NOONAN | 5 | 57.5 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 16.5 | 4 | 16 | 1 | - | 41 | 5 | 2.35 | -1 | |
| 06 | COME AGAIN | 8 | JACK HILL | 3 | 57.5 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 7 | 21 | 999 | 31 | 6 | 3.10 | |||
| 07 | CRIMSON REWARD | 3 | BRIAN HIGGINS | 10 | 59.5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 34 | 999 | 26 | 7 | 4.10 | |||
| 08 | SHEPLIMENTS | 6 | TEODORE NUGENT | 5 | 55.0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 26 | 999 | 31 | 8 | 4.30 | |||
| 09 | MYSTIC MEG | 7 | JOE BOWDITCH | 5 | 57.5 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 55 | 10 | 101 | 999 | 101 | 9 | 11.30 | |||
| 10 | RIDE THE SKY | 2 | BLAIKE MCDOUGALL | 3 | 59.5 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 9 | 71 | 999 | 61 | 10 | 11.40 | |||
| 11 | SERENE HIGHNESS | 1 | YOKO OTA | 11 | 57.5 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 65 | 11 | 151 | 999 | 151 | 11 | 11.50 |
| 28/09/2022 | Cranbourne | 5 | 1600m | 3yo & Up Class 1 | e 12.3 | a 12.3 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | MISS MOONSHINE | 1 | ETHAN BROWN | 2 | 56.5 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 4.4 | 1 | 4.4 | 4.5 | - | 4.2 | 1 | 5.5 | 20.3 | |
| 02 | AMERICAN ACTRESS | 7 | DANIEL MOOR | 3 | 56.0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6.8 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - | 6.5 | 2 | 2.00 | -3 | |
| 03 | MOUNTAIN RANGE | 6 | MARK ZAHRA | 1 | 58.5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 4.6 | 2 | 2.2 | 999 | 2.6 | 3 | 2.10 | |||
| 04 | NEEDLEWORK | 2 | RANDY TAN | 8 | 54.0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 26 | 1.5 | - | 21 | 4 | 2.85 | -1.5 | |
| 05 | WHIRLY JIG | 3 | CRAIG NEWITT | 3 | 60.0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6.8 | 3 | 4.8 | 999 | 5 | 5 | 4.10 | |||
| 06 | GUN SHOW | 5 | ARRON LYNCH | 3 | 58.0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 1.5 | - | 11 | 6 | 5.85 | -1.5 | |
| 07 | RUMBLEINTHEJUNGLE | 8 | CARLEEN HEFEL | 3 | 56.5 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 10.5 | 5 | 16 | 2 | - | 17 | 7 | 7.35 | -2 | |
| 08 | PORTOBELLO ROAD | 4 | TATUM BULL | 3 | 54.0 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 8 | 151 | 999 | 101 | 8 | 10.10 |
| 28/09/2022 | Cranbourne | 6 | 1400m | 3yo & Up BM 65 | e -8.5 | a -8.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | BUBBLY LASS | 7 | TEODORE NUGENT | 9 | 59.0 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 10.5 | 3 | 8 | 999 | 5.5 | 1 | 8 | |||
| 02 | JENNI BAD CAT | 5 | ZAC SPAIN | 6 | 56.0 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 10 | 17 | 999 | 16 | 2 | 1.25 | |||
| 03 | HOLLYWOOD PARK | 4 | LUKE NOLEN | 1 | 59.0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 4.3 | 2 | 5 | 999 | 4.8 | 3 | 2.00 | |||
| 04 | GULF OF SAROS | 9 | JORDAN CHILDS | 3 | 61.0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3.05 | 1 | 2.8 | 6.5 | - | 4.2 | 4 | 2.40 | -6.5 | |
| 05 | NOSSENKO | 10 | BLAIKE MCDOUGALL | 6 | 58.0 | 8 | 7 | 12 | - | 12 | 41 | 999 | 51 | 5 | 3.65 | |||
| 06 | CHALONNE PRINCESS | 1 | MICHAEL DEE | 3 | 56.0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 999 | 9.5 | 6 | 4.40 | |||
| 07 | STARSPANGLED BABY | 8 | JAKE NOONAN | 9 | 59.0 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 38 | 9 | 41 | 999 | 51 | 7 | 4.60 | |||
| 08 | BREASLEY | 11 | RHYS MCLEOD | 12 | 60.0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 60 | 11 | 41 | 999 | 31 | 8 | 6.60 | |||
| 09 | LET'S SAY GRACE | 6 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 3 | 56.0 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 8 | 26 | 999 | 31 | 9 | 7.10 | |||
| 10 | ESTRAPAZ | 3 | PATRICK MOLONEY | 6 | 58.5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10.5 | 3 | 8.5 | 2 | - | 9 | 10 | 7.20 | -2 | |
| 11 | SEMPER FORTIS | 2 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 58.5 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 999 | 9 | 11 | 19.20 |
| 28/09/2022 | Cranbourne | 7 | 1300m | 3yo & Up Class 1 | e -2.5 | a -2.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | PROWLING | 7 | THOMAS STOCKDALE | 5 | 59.5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 4.9 | 2 | 3.7 | 999 | 3.5 | 1 | 3.7 | |||
| 02 | OBFUSCATION | 10 | JYE MCNEIL | 2 | 59.0 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 3.35 | 1 | 2 | 999 | 1.9 | 2 | 1.50 | |||
| 03 | COMMODITY | 3 | ETHAN BROWN | 2 | 56.5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 999 | 13 | 3 | 5.00 | |||
| 04 | BRING ME FLOWERS | 8 | DANIEL MOOR | 5 | 57.0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 7 | 26 | 999 | 41 | 4 | 5.75 | |||
| 05 | REIGATE | 9 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 60.5 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 7.8 | 4 | 5.5 | 999 | 5.5 | 5 | 6.50 | |||
| 06 | KOROBEINIKI | 4 | PATRICK MOLONEY | 4 | 54.5 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 999 | 15 | 6 | 8.25 | |||
| 07 | KALLIOPI POPPY | 1 | CARLEEN HEFEL | 5 | 54.0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 85 | 9 | 126 | 0.5 | - | 151 | 7 | 9.25 | -0.5 | |
| 08 | RYAN'S GIRL | 6 | CRAIG NEWITT | 5 | 54.5 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 15.5 | 6 | 18 | 1.5 | - | 31 | 8 | 12.00 | -1.5 | |
| 09 | SUMMERHILL | 2 | TATUM BULL | 5 | 55.5 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 8 | 81 | 0.5 | - | 101 | 9 | 12.75 | -0.5 | |
| 10 | SECRET SURPRISE | 5 | JADE DAROSE | 10 | 54.0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - | 10 | 151 | 999 | 151 | 10 | 15.50 |
| 28/09/2022 | Cranbourne | 8 | 1200m | 3yo & Up BM 65 | e 27.4 | a 27.4 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | FEUDAL EMPIRE | 7 | ETHAN BROWN | 3 | 58.0 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - | 8 | 1 | 8.6 | 30.4 | |
| 02 | TRADING POST | 9 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 60.0 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 8.8 | 5 | 7 | 999 | 8.5 | 2 | 1.50 | |||
| 03 | SHIPSTERN | 2 | CRAIG WILLIAMS | 1 | 57.0 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 6.4 | 2 | 3.4 | 999 | 3.9 | 3 | 1.70 | |||
| 04 | ROLLING MOSS | 3 | CRAIG NEWITT | 6 | 61.5 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 9.5 | 999 | 8.5 | 4 | 2.95 | |||
| 05 | MARIMENKO | 8 | FRED W KERSLEY | 9 | 61.5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 6.4 | 2 | 4.6 | 3 | - | 6 | 5 | 3.15 | -3 | |
| 06 | MARIHA | 4 | DECLAN BATES | 5 | 59.0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 18.5 | 8 | 18 | 999 | 19 | 6 | 3.35 | |||
| 07 | NO QUARANTINE | 1 | DAMIEN THORNTON | 6 | 60.5 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 999 | 7 | 7 | 3.65 | |||
| 08 | TUAHINE | 10 | MICHAEL DEE | 3 | 57.5 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 6.8 | 4 | 7.5 | 999 | 4.6 | 8 | 7.65 | |||
| 09 | MATERIAL MISTRESS | 6 | SHERIDAN CLARKE | 9 | 53.0 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 100 | 9 | 126 | 999 | 101 | 9 | 10.40 | |||
| 10 | EPSOM DAYS | 5 | CELINE GAUDRAY | 6 | 59.0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 140 | 10 | 151 | 999 | 151 | 10 | 10.50 |
| Legend: br=barrier, jr=jockey rank, wt=weight, pa=early speed rank, cl=closing speed rank, ru=run in transit rank, div=our assessed dividend, rk=our rank, ep=morning book price, sp=starting price, fp=finishing position, mgn=beaten margin, bwd=best/taken price if winner, prf=profit |